The Winner: The Buckeyes have lost just eight regular season games during Urban Meyer’s six seasons as head coach — and things don’t figure to change anytime soon. They have a tough road matchup at TCU this year, but taking the OVER on 10.5 wins is still a safe pick.
Ohio State averages close to 12 wins in AccuScore simulations.
The OVER: This one depends on whether you have Michigan at 8.5 or 9 wins. It’s going to be close but AccuScore is leaning on the OVER with Michigan averaging 9.24 wins in simulations.
The Wolverines kick off the season in South Bend, and have to get some tough wins on the road vs Michigan State and Ohio State, but they have the talent and leadership to creep towards a 10-win season
The UNDER: We’re going with the UNDER on Penn State (9.5). They have some tough matchups vs Pitt, Iowa and Wisconcin that’s nudging our data towards taking the UNDER. Penn State averages fewer than 8.5 wins in AccuScore simulations.
Stay Away: Nebraska — whose total is set at 6.5 — should be better with Scott Frost leading the way. Their schedule, however, isn’t as favorable with road trips to Michigan State and Colorado. There’s just not enough confidence in this team getting to 7 wins.
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