The Winner: Could we have a situation where both Alabama (11 wins) and Georgia (10.5 wins) get to the SEC championship without a loss? Actually, that could happen given the talent of these programs.
But will it happen? AccuScore’s simulation data suggests Alabama will get to above 11 wins, while Georgia lands around 10. (The data would actually suggest the UNDER for Georgia.)
The UNDER x2: We’ve got two suggestions here in lieu of an OVER pick. AccuScore sim data suggests taking the UNDER on Tennessee’s win total, with the Vols averaging around 4-to-5 wins this season.
Also, there’s a heavy lean on the UNDER for Mississippi State’s win total (8). The Bulldogs win closer to five-to-six games in simulations, suggesting some value on the pick. They have a tough road matchup at Kansas State in early September, with even tougher road matchups later in the calendar vs LSU, Alabama, Auburn and Texas A&M.
Stay Away: People are expecting Joe Burrow to make a big difference for LSU this season, but AccuScore sim data just isn’t as confident. The Tigers total is set at 7 wins and they’ll win closer to 6 in our simulations.
They have a tough schedule in September with Miami and Auburn on the slate, followed by matchups with Florida, Georgia, Mississippi State and Alabama — things can go either way so we’d suggest staying away.
All of AccuScore’s College Football Expert Picks
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